The New Medical Guard Speaks on Medicine 2.0

From Bertalan (Berci) Meskó, a last-year medical student, studying to become a clinical geneticist:

I cannot imagine my post-graduate daily activities without the tools of web 2.0. With RSS feed, I can keep myself up-to-date in my field of interest (personalized genetics) easily. By reading blog carnivals (such as Gene Genie), I’m sure I’ll know about all the important news and announcements of genetics. As I use medical community sites (e.g. Tiromed.com), it’s quite easy to find residency places or international collaborators for my research projects. And many more examples prove, at least for me, the real power of web 2.0. More. . .

(Thanks to ICMCC, DiagnosisPR and ScienceRoll)

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IFTF “Reinventing Health Care in a Mobile World” Conference

The Institute for the Future‘s Health Horizons Fall Conference on Reinventing Health Care in a Mobile World will be held on October 14-15, 2008 at the Fairmont Hotel in San Francisco. I’ve been asked to participate on a panel moderated by IFTF Research Director, Cesar Castro, looking at health care innovation in a mobile world. As readers of this blog know, I’m very interested in the multiple uses of cell phones in health care – see here, here, here, and here – and believe that for the underserved, rural, poor and disabled the development of this technology and the promotion of its use in health care is critical.

While I’m there I’ll also do some blogging on the emerging issues as the mood strikes.

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Physician Brain Drain a Critical Issue for Developing Countries

nurse anne bell of nashville

Image by venusnaturalis via Flickr

Reuters reports today (Kavita Chandran and Tan Ee Lyn) that the

. . .health crisis in developing countries is . . . being exacerbated by the West as countries relax stringent immigration regulations to attract doctors and nurses from less developed countries to boost their own flagging health systems while saving money on expensive training.

The consequences of this “brain drain” are grave as it leaves gaping holes in the healthcare systems of developing countries where diseases such as AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria run rampant and children die daily from diarrhea.

I’ve written a number of times that we seriously underestimated the depth and impact of the globalization of health care and how entangled and interdependent we are with the health problems plaguing the rest of the planet. So at the risk of being a PITA I want to repeat my message.

  1. Our public discourse in health care is often too insular, too self-serving and thus irrelevant when it comes to the rest of the world;
  2. The world, and health care with it, is changing in dramatic ways;
  3. We are not paying enough attention to the above two points.

Step back for a moment and consider the overwhelming preponderance of words, time and money we spend in taking apart the U.S. health care system. Now think about how much of that talk goes toward building an understanding of our dependencies on the rest of the world for that care. Or for that matter, how much of the world’s health care, in turn, depends on us.

Not much. In fact we tend to polarize our thoughts into strict them-and-us compartments that essentially diminish any appreciation of the depth of those inter-relationships.

It also shows in our ignorance of health care systems in other countries (especially so when we boast of the superiority of either theirs or ours); in our odd blindness to the fact that, demographically speaking, the world is already living in our own house; and in our easy dismissal of international health comparisons not favorable to us. We are, to be blunt, isolationist, and to many on the planet, arrogant,when it comes to health care.

Keeping the world at an arm’s length is no longer possible or desirable. Much like an “American” car or anything you can buy at Wal-Mart, health care is fast becoming the product of a complex world-wide process. While the health care services Americans receive may appear to be local, each drug, patient record, and operating room is the culmination of a complicated international exchange we need to better understand.

Every health care issue confronting today has underlying global aspects. The U.S. health care is discovering itself inextricably caught up in international diplomacy, the throes of globalization, and even the murky dealings of illegal transnational organizations.

We’re witnessing the emergence of a new order, with its corresponding growth opportunities, intractable problems, and chaotic flash points. For example, the drug industry: new drug biologics, research, testing, manufacturing, pricing, distribution, profits, and counterfeiting — all are derivatives of active public and private global networks. International coordination and information exchange is clearly critical in controlling infectious diseases such as SARS, avian flu, or HIV.

“Medical tourism” (international hospital competition) increases every year. More of our physicians are either foreign-born or being trained in other countries– indeed our entire health care infrastructure is increasingly dependent on foreign labor. Research into other countries’ health care practices will usher a new wave of alternative and complementary care into mainstream medicine. And, of course, health care IT. Electronic claims transaction, systems installations and software testing, call centers with advanced technology –- you name it — and its major components are more and more often located offshore.

Borders are increasingly, or already, irrelevant to health care. We are either getting flattened, or doing it to others. Adapting to that emerging reality is critical. But we seem to be missing the signals. Even in the grand ideas fermenting in the speeches of our presidential candidates we see little recognition of what is going on around us. So we need to start interrogating the global connection of every health care problem we face.

The message has to get out: the globalization of health care is not an optional sub-specialty anymore. It is front and center required reading.

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A Black Swan Has Struck Health Care Reform

The Black Swan (book)

Image via Wikipedia

A Black Swan has struck health care reform. In May 2007 I wrote:

But for the moment, I don’t want to get into the specifics of contending views here, as much as I want to talk to how we go about our thinking in health care. One interesting way to see the current debate is through a notion now making the literary and intellectual rounds — the Black Swan. At the risk of being faddish, I think it’s worth exploring for a minute.

A Black Swan is a rare event we never see coming, has extreme impact, and after it occurs, we rationalize that it was ever so predictable. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of popular book in question, argues that history and societies do not proceed along some linear line, but “go from fracture to fracture, with a few vibrations in between.” It is the singular, the unseen, the accidental and the unpredicted — and our “chronic underestimation” of these possibilities — that account for the FUTURE straying from any course we initially envisioned.

It doesn’t take too much of a financial genius to figure out that the wall street meltdown will have at least two dramatic effects on health care reform: 1) coverage for the uninsured will be nearly impossible in the short run (a decade?); and 2) enormous pressure will build to constrain and shift costs to health insurers and providers further eroding the economic viability of the private health care sector. And while the Presidential candidates during the recent debate avoided the serious question of what has to wait, the adults in the room did not need to have things spelled out.

As I have said before, any of the official “futures” for health care reform at are now DOA. And we don’t need to pay any futurist to tell us how that story will end since the plot has yet to be revealed. Stay tuned.

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New Study Says Online Health Care Could Reduce Costs

A statue of Asclepius. The Glypotek, Copenhagen.

Image via Wikipedia

A new study, authored by Arthur L. Wilmes, FSA, MAAA, principal & actuary at Milliman, estimated the impact of online care by developing individual actuarial cost models for a commercial and Medicare population from internal Milliman data sources. And here’s the money quote from the Government Technology website report:

The majority of savings estimated in Milliman’s analysis came from the potential for substitution of non-emergent ER visits and in-person visits (both acute and follow-up) with lower-cost live interactions using an online care platform. The savings for the commercial population amounted to 9.2 percent for the services analyzed, representing an estimated 1.2 percent reduction in overall medical costs. For Medicare, the savings amounted to 12.1 percent for the services analyzed, equivalent to an estimated 1.2 percent of overall medical costs. Milliman also identified other potential clinical applications of online care with cost savings potential, including chronic patient management, early disease detection and care management.

(Thanks to ICMCC)

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Health Care Quote of the Day on Personal Health Records

From Stephen Downs, senior program officer and deputy director of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health Group.

The current understanding of a PHR is of an online repository of all of the information in your medical record—and that is way too limiting. We want to stretch the vision so that technology designers and policy-makers see PHRs as resources that don’t just allow patients to review their medical information, but instead enable them to make more informed decisions because of it.

Thanks to Digital HealthCare and ICMCC.

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Live Chat with Dr. Jason Hwang on Disruptive Innovation

At a Live Chat today with Dr. Jason Hwang co-author of The Innovator’s Prescription: A Disruptive Solution for Health Care, (Sponsored by the World Healthcare innovation and Technology Congress) I asked him how he saw the recent and fast paced developments in mobile phone applications and technology having an impact on health care. He replied

Similar technologies which decentralize care typically commoditize expertise and bring care closer to the patient. If we can encourage business models that fully capitalize on the advantages of these decentralizing technologies we will dramatically increase the value delivered by the health care system.

Other questioners ask:

“Given your view on decreasing reliance on hospitals and physicians, how do you think the practice of surgery will be affected.?”

Patients are not going to be doing surgery on themselves, nor are non-surgeons going to be doing anything beyond biopses. However, for diseases which have causes the can be targeted with medications or devices the need for surgery can be precluded and disrupted.

“So with that response, how do you foresee Google and Microsoft’s initiatives playing out?”

The problem with Google and Microsoft initiatives is they maintain control for the data in that the data is still seen as the primary source of value. This is no different from how hospital systems already view their data. We would prefer to see a system that commodotizes data warehousing and in which profits shift to the companies that develop innovative applications through which to use that data.

“Can you give an example of truly disruptive technology that you see coming?”

The technology is already here but the importance is on how we employ it. Technologies can be utilized in a disruptive or sustaining fashion . . . Technologies help providers deliver more and more complex care. But that tends to increase overall cost of the system. That very same technology could be employed in a disruptive manner and a prime example today is telemedicine.

“EMR adoption is anemic. Will rising consumerism in health care prompt a rise in adoption?”

My view is that EMR (implementation by hospital systems and physicians) will likely remain stagnant. PHRs under the control of patients should disrupt the information and data infrastructure provided that we give patients a reason to collect and manage their own health care data.

On telemedicine:

Again there are two ways in which we can implement telemedicine. One way is we use technology to help our specialists see more patients more efficiently than they could in the past. However, the second way in which we use telemedicine is to help support less expensive caregiver and technicians to care for those very same patients is what will be disruptive to the system. If Web 2.0 technologies are used to help patients take better care of themselves thereby reducing the need to utilize costly expertise and expensive facilities, then that would truly be disruptive. I believe this can happen.

On electronic personal health records:

For disruptive innovation to get any traction we must identify areas of non-consumption. So in the united states there are a lot of affiliated health companies that have no access to the existing records database. I imagine that companies like spas, fitness centers, nutrition stores and wellness centers would be an ideal market in which to establish a disruptive PHR system. Eventually, traditional health care providers will see value in linking their system to the newer disruptive one.

On my question about virtual home visits:

For a growing number of conditions virtual home visits are more than adequate. In order to encourage adoption once again we need changes in our payment model. As I said before, we would suspect that these types of innovations would arise first from the integrated delivery systems that are able to capture the value gained by new delivery models such as this one.

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Our Trusted Health Valet? Google’s Future for Mobile Phones

From the Official Google Blog:

There are currently about 3.2 billion mobile subscribers in the world, and that number is expected to grow by at least a billion in the next few years. Today, mobile phones are more prevalent than cars (about 800 million registered vehicles in the world) and credit cards (only 1.4 billion of those). While it took 100 years for landline phones to spread to more than 80% of the countries in the world, their wireless descendants did it in 16. And fewer teens are wearing watches now because they use their phones to tell time instead (somewhere Chester Gould is wondering how he got it backwards). So it’s safe to say that the mobile phone may be the most prolific consumer product ever invented. (more)

How in health care do we tap the power on mobile devices featured in this pre-android deployment post on the future of mobile phones – smart alerts, augmented reality, mainstream crowd-sourcing, remote sensoring, development tool, and – I love this – trusted valet?

Trust is the most important currency in the always connected world, and your phone will help you stay in control of your information. You may choose to share nothing at all (the default mode), or just share certain things with certain people — your circle of trusted friends and family. You’ll make these decisions based on information you get from the service and software providers, and the collective ratings of the community as well. Your phone is like your trusted valet: it knows a lot about you, and won’t disclose an iota of it without your OK.

I hope it can help us know our health as well.

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AllOne Mobile and HealthVault: Using Cell Phones to Share Health Info

From Health Data Management:

Wilkes-Barre, Pa.-based AllOne Health Group Inc. will integrate its AllOne Mobile software with the HealthVault initiative of Redmond, Wash.-based Microsoft Corp. This will enable consumers to access and transmit their personal health information using cell phones and smart phones.

AllOne Mobile software enables a consumer to download a personal health record to a phone, or access it via the phone. The record can be changed either on a Web site or the phone and automatically updated on both ends. Under the alliance with HealthVault, an AllOne Mobile user will be able to fax information from a personal HealthVault account to a physician, family members and others via a smart phone or any cell phone with text messaging.

The technology will support Health Level Seven messaging standards and a standardized Continuity of Care Document.

See the video from AllOne Mobile.

(Thanks to ICMCC)

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Cutting Back on Health Care – Fat or Substance?

From this morning’s Wall Street Journal ($$$ Subscription) on the swift reaction of health care to the financial meltdown.

The number of prescriptions filled in the U.S. fell 0.5% in the first quarter and a steeper 1.97% in the second, compared with the same periods in 2007 . . .

In a survey by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners last month, 22% of 686 consumers said that economy-related woes were causing them to go to the doctor less often. About 11% said they’ve scaled back on prescription drugs to save money. Some of the areas being hit include hip and knee replacements, mammograms, and visits to the emergency room . . .

And the impact?

Health-policy experts say that patients’ short-term care cutbacks could lead to more medical problems and higher spending down the road. As more people forgo screenings or wait until minor medical problems blow up into serious complications, hospital and emergency-room admissions could eventually spike.

These expert opinions, I would venture to say, are knee-jerk responses at best. The real question we should ask, at the risk of sounding harsh, is whether what we are seeing is a consumer-level pruning of the 30 percent fat in health care those same policy experts are always complaining about, or , in fact, the loss of real health care to those who can least afford it. To the media and the stories they feature, it is always bad news. But what impact will this increasing consumer sensitivity to cost really have when it comes to actual health outcomes?

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